Pass probability calculator
Your strategy played 4,000 times against a plan's real rules: drawdown type, daily loss limit and target. Then the same strategy on every plan of the same size, to see which one suits it.
Max loss $2,000 (end-of-day trailing) · daily limit $1,000 · target $3,000
Each day is played trade by trade, so its highs and lows are real; the drawdown floor and daily limit are then applied as the firm does. Risk is set as a share of the max loss, so the strategy scales to any plan.
Odds of passing within 30 days
60.4%
- Median days to pass: 20
A model, not a promise. It assumes independent trades and fixed risk; real trading has streaks, news and nerves.
PassedFailedStill running
The same strategy on every $50,000 plan
Same win rate, reward/risk and risk (as a share of each plan's max loss), played against each plan's own rules.